Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.185712 0.220761 0.260088 0.307410 0.362730 0.425276 0.501274
2025-05-11 0.131447 0.175537 0.230504 0.303750 0.398450 0.516376 0.673940
2025-05-18 0.098474 0.143673 0.204685 0.292424 0.414617 0.577888 0.811531
2025-05-25 0.075869 0.119300 0.181979 0.278033 0.420279 0.621637 0.926315
2025-06-01 0.064345 0.107920 0.174514 0.282237 0.450253 0.699877 1.095547
2025-06-08 0.052550 0.093627 0.159846 0.272464 0.456697 0.742790 1.215829
2025-06-15 0.046362 0.087173 0.156158 0.278784 0.487961 0.825561 1.404614
2025-06-22 0.040535 0.080219 0.150373 0.280374 0.510990 0.896795 1.581409
2025-06-29 0.034914 0.072598 0.142158 0.276299 0.523308 0.950852 1.734290
2025-07-06 0.030295 0.066048 0.134815 0.272536 0.535230 1.004707 1.891231
2025-07-13 0.028097 0.063920 0.135413 0.283506 0.574965 1.110803 2.149809
2025-07-20 0.027289 0.064530 0.141375 0.305472 0.637631 1.263952 2.507446
2025-07-27 0.025202 0.062245 0.141591 0.316882 0.682951 1.392835 2.839479
2025-08-03 0.022068 0.057080 0.135102 0.313741 0.699221 1.468957 3.080749
2025-08-10 0.018766 0.050872 0.125344 0.302117 0.696320 1.506858 3.250649
2025-08-17 0.015766 0.044795 0.114875 0.287282 0.684435 1.524900 3.381701
2025-08-24 0.014362 0.042524 0.112929 0.291617 0.715002 1.633561 3.709828
2025-08-31 0.012352 0.038228 0.105374 0.281539 0.711588 1.669442 3.887269
2025-09-07 0.011429 0.036765 0.104679 0.288056 0.747401 1.793907 4.267586
2025-09-14 0.010383 0.034735 0.102194 0.289697 0.771695 1.894965 4.605450
2025-09-21 0.009221 0.032115 0.097707 0.285494 0.781104 1.962916 4.874800
2025-09-28 0.008212 0.029761 0.093570 0.281613 0.790791 2.032322 5.153795
2025-10-05 0.007828 0.029350 0.094908 0.292926 0.840928 2.202604 5.685143